Simple resolution Two envelopes problem
the total amount in both envelopes constant
c
=
3
x
{\displaystyle c=3x}
,
x
{\displaystyle x}
in 1 envelope ,
2
x
{\displaystyle 2x}
in other.
if select envelope
x
{\displaystyle x}
first gain amount
x
{\displaystyle x}
swapping. if select envelope
2
x
{\displaystyle 2x}
first lose amount
x
{\displaystyle x}
swapping. gain on average
g
=
1
2
(
x
)
+
1
2
(
−
x
)
=
1
2
(
x
−
x
)
=
0
{\displaystyle g={1 \over 2}(x)+{1 \over 2}(-x)={1 \over 2}(x-x)=0}
swapping.
swapping not better keeping. expected value
e
=
1
2
2
x
+
1
2
x
=
3
2
x
{\displaystyle \operatorname {e} ={\frac {1}{2}}2x+{\frac {1}{2}}x={\frac {3}{2}}x}
same both envelopes. no contradiction exists.
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